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	<title>The Harvard Law School Forum on Corporate Governance</title>
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	<title>The Real Effects of Financial Markets &#8211; The Harvard Law School Forum on Corporate Governance</title>
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		<title>The Real Effects of Financial Markets</title>
		<link>https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2012/02/08/the-real-effects-of-financial-markets/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=the-real-effects-of-financial-markets</link>
		<comments>https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2012/02/08/the-real-effects-of-financial-markets/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 08 Feb 2012 14:39:28 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Academic Research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Empirical Research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mergers & Acquisitions]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Acquisition likelihood]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Firm valuation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Merger waves]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Takeovers]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[In our paper, The Real Effects of Financial Markets: The Impact of Prices on Takeovers, forthcoming in the Journal of Finance, we provide evidence on the real effect of financial markets. Using non-fundamental shocks to market prices — occurring due to non-discretionary trades by mutual funds that face liquidation pressure from investors’ outflows — as [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<hgroup><em>Posted by R. Christopher Small, Co-editor, HLS Forum on Corporate Governance and Financial Regulation, on Wednesday, February 8, 2012 </em><div class='e_n' style='background:#F8F8F8;padding:10px;margin-top:5px;margin-bottom:10px;text-indent:2.5em;'><strong style='margin-left:-2.5em;'>Editor's Note: </strong> <p style="margin:0; display:inline;">The following post comes to us from <a href="http://finance.wharton.upenn.edu/%7Eaedmans" target="_blank">Alex Edmans</a> and <a href="http://fnce.wharton.upenn.edu/people/faculty.cfm?id=929" target="_blank">Itay Goldstein</a>, both of the Department of Finance at the University of Pennsylvania, and <a href="http://www.columbia.edu/%7Ewj2006/" target="_blank">Wei Jiang</a>, Professor of Finance at Columbia University.</p>
</div></hgroup><p>In our paper, <strong><em>The Real Effects of Financial Markets: The Impact of Prices on Takeovers</em></strong>, forthcoming in the <em>Journal of Finance</em>, we provide evidence on the real effect of financial markets. Using non-fundamental shocks to market prices — occurring due to non-discretionary trades by mutual funds that face liquidation pressure from investors’ outflows — as an instrumental variable, we show that market prices affect takeover activity. A non-fundamental decrease in the stock price creates a profit opportunity for acquirers, and increases the probability that the firm will be taken over. Using an instrument for price changes is essential for identifying this effect since market prices are endogenous and reflect the likelihood of an upcoming acquisition. This may explain the weak relationship between prices and takeover activity found by prior literature. By modeling the relationship between prices and takeovers as a simultaneous system that accounts for anticipation, and identifying using an instrument, we find a significantly stronger effect of prices on takeovers than previous research.</p>
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