Jason Frankl and Brian Kushner are Senior Managing Directors at FTI Consulting Inc. This post is based on their FTI memorandum. Related research from the Program on Corporate Governance includes The Long-Term Effects of Hedge Fund Activism by Lucian Bebchuk, Alon Brav, and Wei Jiang (discussed on the Forum here); Dancing with Activists by Lucian Bebchuk, Alon Brav, Wei Jiang, and Thomas Keusch (discussed on the Forum here); and Who Bleeds When the Wolves Bite? A Flesh-and-Blood Perspective on Hedge Fund Activism and Our Strange Corporate Governance System by Leo E. Strine, Jr. (discussed on the Forum here).
Introduction & Market Update
FTI Consulting’s Activism and M&A Solutions team welcomes our clients, friends and readers to our sixth quarterly Activism Vulnerability Report, documenting the results of our Activism Vulnerability Screener from the recent fourth quarter of 2020, as well as other notable trends and themes in the world of shareholder activism and engagement. Almost one year ago to the day, we sat down to write this report for the fourth quarter of 2019. Our team had just begun the shift to working from home offices and spare bedrooms, while still adjusting to full days of video conference calls due to the rapidly spreading COVID-19 coronavirus.
While it was not until the latter half of the fourth quarter of 2020, or even the start of 2021, that many of the pandemic’s biggest concerns began to subside, many areas of the market remained incredibly resilient throughout the year. The S&P 500 Index, the Dow Jones Industrial Average Index and the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 16.3%, 7.3% and 43.6%, respectively, in 2020. While the three leading indices all ended the year on solid ground, the incredible market voracity from the COVID-19 pandemic should not be overlooked. The S&P 500 Index reached an all-time peak of 3,386 on February 19, before it fell 33.9% in just 32 days to 2,237. As measured from March 23, 2020, however, the Index regained the previous high in less than five months on August 18 (an increase of 51.5%). For the S&P 500 Index and the Nasdaq Composite Index, the period of 2019 and 2020 represents the best two-year performance since 1998 and 1999, during the heart of the Dot-Com boom.