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	<title>The Harvard Law School Forum on Corporate Governance</title>
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	<title>The DCF Valuation Methodology is Untestable &#8211; The Harvard Law School Forum on Corporate Governance</title>
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		<title>The DCF Valuation Methodology is Untestable</title>
		<link>https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2022/04/20/the-dcf-valuation-methodology-is-untestable/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=the-dcf-valuation-methodology-is-untestable</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 20 Apr 2022 12:31:56 +0000</pubDate>
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				<category><![CDATA[Academic Research]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Accounting & Disclosure]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Accounting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Accounting standards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cash flows]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Firm valuation]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[The goal of discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation analysis is to answer the question, “What is this asset worth?” as in, what is the price that a rational person would be willing to pay for this asset in a competitive asset market. It is a question to which good answers are often needed. The DCF [&#8230;]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<hgroup><em>Posted by J.B. Heaton, One Hat Research LLC, on Wednesday, April 20, 2022 </em><div class='e_n' style='background:#F8F8F8;padding:10px;margin-top:5px;margin-bottom:10px;text-indent:2.5em;'><strong style='margin-left:-2.5em;'>Editor's Note: </strong> <p style="margin:0; display:inline;">J.B. Heaton is a managing member of One Hat Research LLC.</p>
</div></hgroup><p>The goal of discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation analysis is to answer the question, “What is this asset worth?” as in, what is the price that a rational person would be willing to pay for this asset in a competitive asset market. It is a question to which good answers are often needed. The DCF valuation model is a hypothesis about the answer: market value (<em>MV</em>) equals the sum of the discounted expected future cash flows that the asset will provide to its owner:</p>
<p><a href="https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FIrstequation.png"><img decoding="async" class="alignnone wp-image-145018 size-full" src="https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FIrstequation.png" alt="" width="930" height="302" srcset="https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FIrstequation.png 930w, https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FIrstequation-300x97.png 300w, https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/wp-content/uploads/2022/04/FIrstequation-768x249.png 768w" sizes="(max-width: 930px) 100vw, 930px" /></a></p>
<p>where <em>E(CF<sub>i</sub>)</em> is the expected cash flow at future time <em>i</em>, <em>r<sub>i</sub></em> is the discount rate for cash flows to be received from this asset at future time <em>i</em>, and <em>N</em> is the number of dates where cash flow is expected to be received. The cash flow expectations and discount rates are those of the equilibrium asset buyer who competes with other potential buyers facing—at least when the asset is fungible and has a perfect substitute owned by others—numerous potential sellers.</p>
<p> <a href="https://corpgov.law.harvard.edu/2022/04/20/the-dcf-valuation-methodology-is-untestable/#more-145015" class="more-link"><span aria-label="Continue reading The DCF Valuation Methodology is Untestable">(more&hellip;)</span></a></p>
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