From Iran to Taylor Swift: Informed Trading in Prediction Markets

The New Frontier of Insider Trading In the hours before the February 28, 2026 U.S.-Israeli strike on Iran—one of the most closely guarded military operations in recent history—six newly created Polymarket wallets collectively earned approximately $1.2 million by purchasing ‘Yes’ shares in the ‘US strikes Iran by February 28?’ contract at prices as low as … Continue reading From Iran to Taylor Swift: Informed Trading in Prediction Markets