Posted by Gail Weinstein, Steven Epstein, and Warren S. de Wied, Fried, Frank, Harris, Shriver & Jacobson LLP, on
Sunday, January 10, 2021
Gail Weinstein is senior counsel and Steven Epstein and Warren S. de Wied are partners at Fried, Frank, Harris, Shriver & Jacobson LLP. This post is based on a Fried Frank memorandum by Ms. Weinstein, Mr. Epstein, Mr. de Wied, Philip Richter, Steven J. Steinman, and Robert C. Schwenkel, and is part of the Delaware law series; links to other posts in the series are available here. Related research from the Program on Corporate Governance includes Are M&A Contract Clauses Value Relevant to Target and Bidder Shareholders? by John C. Coates, Darius Palia, and Ge Wu (discussed on the Forum here); and The New Look of Deal Protection by Fernan Restrepo and Guhan Subramanian (discussed on the Forum here).
As this most unusual and difficult year comes to an end, still with us are the global pandemic, government lockdowns, economic decline, and geopolitical instability that it ushered in. In this Quarterly, we note major developments in 2020 in the M&A/PE corner of the world.
The COVID-19 Pandemic
While devastating personally and politically, the COVID-19 pandemic is proving to be, from the M&A/PE perspective, much like other major crises—the uncertainty it created had a major impact, but that was followed by resilience, adaptation, and, in many industries, what now appears to be movement toward normalcy.
Deal activity. The negative impact on deal activity was extreme initially, but we have seen a reemergence of transactions. Most deals signed in the days just before the pandemic hit did close, albeit on occasion with a renegotiation of price. Most deals that were being negotiated at that time were put on pause or terminated as businesses prioritized the pressing matters related to the pandemic. Starting in the third quarter of the year, however, and continuing during the fourth, there has been a meaningful uptick in deal activity.
Worldwide M&A activity (by deal value) was down 31% in the first quarter of this year compared to the previous three months–the largest quarterly fall since 2013. Activity during the first nine months of the year reflected an 18% decrease from the year before–the slowest first nine months of the year since 2013. U.S. M&A activity decreased 38% compared to last year, but rebounded by 400% between the second and third quarters of this year. Worldwide private equity activity (by deal value) in the third quarter showed a decline of only 0.5% from the same period last year, after rebounding 69% between the second and third quarters this year (with technology and industrial firm targets accounting for 41% of this year’s PE deals). U.S. PE deal activity declined by 20.6% through the third quarter compared to last year, but has started to rebound.
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